DIRECTION
研究方向
——
1. 全球干旱半干旱地区的陆气相互作用
2. 海洋对半干旱区气候的影响
3. 青藏高原热源的变化
RESEARCH
代表性成果
——
代表性成果一: 发现了半干旱区强化增温现象，揭示了人为影响在半干旱区天气和气候事件过程中的作用。
指出在过去百年尺度上，全球不同气候区的增温趋势存在显著差异，干旱半干旱区的增温幅度远高于湿润区，这种半干旱区的强化增温现象是辐射温度(与人类活动有关)和动力温度(与气候系统的内部振荡有关)共同作用的结果。动力温度扮演着温度变化背景场的作用，而辐射温度与原始温度变化一致，说明辐射温度主导了干旱半干旱区的强化增温现象。相关成果的首篇论文单篇引用率达200次左右。部分成果被联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会第五次评估报告（IPCC AR5）大篇幅引用。研究成果作为封面论文发表在Advances in Atmospheric Sciences上，并获评该期刊年度最优论文。
代表性成果二: 阐明了海洋活动对半干旱区气候变化的影响，发现了海洋活动是触发大气平衡态发生转变的敏感器。
发现大范围极寒天气事件的发生与大气系统平衡态存在密切的关系。当大气系统处于高指数平衡态时，经向环流占主导，不易出现极寒天气；当大气系统处于低指数平衡态时，纬向环流占主导，则容易出现极寒天气。而海洋典型涛动因子主导的大气系统年代际协同振荡则是造成大气系统高低指数平衡态转变的触发机制。相关成果发表在Scientific Reports和Climate Dynamics等国际一流学术期刊。部分研究成果作为封面论文发表在《中国科学》杂志上，并获得教育部2021年自然科学二等奖（第一完成人）。
代表性成果三: 系统研究了半干旱区陆气机制，构建了半干旱气候变化的完整图像。
研究了半干旱区土壤湿度的变化对全球增温反馈的突出性，发现了半干旱区强化增温主导土壤湿度减弱，揭示了强化增温过程中半干旱区的干旱化现象。并量化了半干旱区的降水、蒸发、最低温等一系列陆面过程因子的变化特征。计算了四季在全球增暖影响下发生的长度变化，分析了最低温受海洋和陆地影响的特征，进一步确定半干旱区的植被变化及生态迁移。研究成果作为封面论文发表在Nature Climate Change上，相关研究成果被大篇幅收录在《第一次海洋与气候变化国家评估报告》和《IPCC第四次中国报告》中。关于四季变化的研究被联合国减灾署列入降低灾害风险知识库，被维基百科收入2021年气候变化纪事；受到包括美国华盛顿邮报、英国卫报等121家国际媒体的146条报道。
PAPERS
论文成果
—— 英 文 文 章
51. Wang G., He Y.*, Zhang B., Wang X., Cheng S., Xie Y., Wang S., Guan X. 2022: Historical evaluation and projection of precipitation phase changes in the cold season over the
Tibetan Plateau based on CMIP6 multimodels. Atmospheric Research. 281(2023), 106494. DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106494.
50. Cao C., Guan X.*, Sun W., Guo S., Chen B. 2022: Changes of Extreme High Temperature by Global Warming in the Northern Hemisphere. Journal of Applied Meteorology and
Climatology. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0043.1.
49. Gao Z., Guan X.*, He B., Zhao L., Xie Y., He Y., Ji F. 2022: Impacts of the Tibetan Plateau on aridity change over the Northern Hemisphere. Atmospheric Research. 281C, 106470.
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106470.
48. Guan X., Guo S., Huang J.*, Shen X., Fu L., Zhang G. 2022: Effect of seasonal snow on the start of growing season of typical vegetation in Northern Hemisphere. Geography and
Sustainability. DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2022.09.001.
47. Guan X., Gao Z., Huang J.*, Cao C., Zhu k., Wang J. 2022: Speeding extreme cold events under global warming. Environmental Research Letters. 17(8): 084012. DOI:
46. Huang X., Guan X.*, Zhu K., Gu T., Huang J., He Y. 2022: Influence of water vapor influx on interdecadal change in summer precipitation over the source area of the Yellow River
45. Chen B.*, Song Z., Huang J., Zhang P., Hu X., Zhang X., Guan X., et al. 2022: Estimation of Atmospheric PM10 Concentration in China Using an Interpretable Deep Learning
Model and Top-of-the-Atmosphere Reflectance Data From China’s New Generation Geostationary Meteorological Satellite, FY-4A. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
44. Song Z., Chen B.*, Zhang P., Guan X., et al. 2022: High temporal and spatial resolution PM2.5 dataset acquisition and pollution assessment based on FY-4A TOAR data and deep
forest model in China. Atmospheric Research. 274, 106199. DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106199.
43. Guan X.*, Cao C., Zeng X., Sun W. 2022: Evidence of decreasing diurnal temperature range in eastern Northern Hemisphere. Environmental Research Communications. 4, 031004.
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ac5e0a.
42. Guo S., Guan X.*, Gao L., Sun W., Cao C., He Y. 2022: Opposite Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation effects on dry/wet changes over Central and East Asian drylands. Atmospheric
Research. DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106102.
41. Wang G., He Y.*, Huang J., Guan X., Wang X., Hu H., Wang S., Xie Y. 2022: The influence of precipitation phase changes on the recharge process of terrestrial water storage in the
40. Wang S., He Y.*, Hu S., Ji F., Wang B., Guan X., Sebastiano Piccolroaz. 2022: Enhanced Warming in Global Dryland Lakes and Its Drivers. Remote Sensing. DOI:
10.3390/rs14010086.
39. Chen B., Huang Y., Huang J., Li D., Guan X., Ge J., Hu Z*. 2021: Using Lidar and Historical Similar Meteorological Fields to Evaluate the Impact of Anthropogenic Control on Dust
Weather During COVID-19. Frontiers in Environmental Science. 9, 806094. DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2021.806094.
38. Guan X.*, Zhu K., Huang X., Zeng X., He Y. 2021: Precipitation Changes in Semi-arid Regions in East Asia Under Global Warming. Frontiers in Earth Science. 9, 762348. DOI:
10.3389/feart.2021.762348.
37. Liu J., Guan X.*, Gao Z. et al. 2021: Inter-decadal variability of the heat source over the Tibetan Plateau. Climate Dynamics. 58(3-4): 729-739. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05929-z.
36. Zhu K., Guan X. *, Huang J., Wang J., Guo S., Cao C. 2021: Precipitation over semi-arid regions of North Hemisphere affected by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Atmospheric
Research. 262, 105801. DOI:10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105801.
35. Wang J., Guan X.*, Guan Y, et al. 2021: Changes in lengths of the four seasons over the drylands in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Journal of Climate. 34, 8181-8190. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0774.1.
34. He Y., W. Tian, J. Huang*, G. Wang, Y. Ren, H. Yan, H. Yu, Guan X., et al. 2021: The mechanism of increasing summer water vapor over the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Geophysical
Research: Atmospheres. 126, e2020JD034166. DOI: 10.1029/2020JD034166.
33. Wang J., Y. Guan*, L. Wu, Guan X., et al. 2021: Changing lengths of the four seasons by global warming. Geophysical Research Letters. 48, e2020GL091753. DOI:
10.1029/2020GL091753.
32. Huang J.*, G. Zhang, Y. Zhang, Guan X., et al. 2020: Global desertification vulnerability to climate change and human activities. Land Degradation and Development. 20,1-12. DOI:
10.1002/ldr.3556.
31. Bi L., Y. He*, J. Huang, Y. Li, Guan X., et al. 2019: The global response of temperature to high-latitude vegetation greening in a two-dimensional energy balance model.
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters. 13(1), 80-87. DOI:10.1080/16742834.2020.1696650.
30. Huang J.*, J. Ma, Guan X., Y. Li and Y. He. 2019: Progress in Semi-arid Climate Change Studies in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 36, 922-937. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-
018-8200-9.
29. Ma J., T. Zhang, Guan X.*, et al. 2019: The Dominant Role of Snow/Ice Albedo Feedback Strengthened by Black Carbonin the Enhanced Warming over the Himalayas. Journal of
Climate. DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0720.1.
28. Gan Z., Guan X.*, X. Kong, et al. 2019: The Key Role of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in Minimum Temperature Over North America During Global Warming Slowdown. Earth
and Space Science. 6, 387–397. DOI:10.1029/2018EA00044.
27. Kong X., Guan X.*, C. Cao, et al. 2019: Decadal change in soil moisture over East Asia in response to a decade-long warming hiatus. Journal of Geophysical Research:
Atmospheres. 124, 8619–8630. DOI:10.1029/2019JD030294.
26. Luo W., Guan X.*, Y. Xie, et al. 2019: The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase. International Journal of Climatology. 1-10. DOI:10.1002/joc.6186.
25. Guan X., J. Ma, J. Huang*, et al. 2019: Impact of oceans on climate change in drylands. Science China Earth Sciences. 62(6), 891-908. DOI: 10.1007/s11430-018-9317-8.
24. Chen S., N. Jiang, J. Huang*, Z. Zang, Guan X., et al. 2019: Estimations of indirect and direct anthropogenic dust emission at the global scale. Atmospheric Environment. 200, 50-60.
23. Wei Y., H. Yu, J. Huang*, Y. He, B. Yang, Guan X., et al. 2018: Comparison of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in climate model simulations and observations. International Journal of
Climatology. DOI:10.1002/joc.5355.
22. Chen S., N. Jiang, J. Huang*, X. Xu, H. Zhang, Z. Zang, K. Huang, X. Xu, Y. Wei, Guan X., et al. 2018: Quantifying contributions of natural and anthropogenic dust emission from
21. Ma J., Guan X.*, R. Guo, Z. Gan, and Y. Xie. 2017: Mechanism of non-appearance of hiatus in Tibetan Plateau. Scientific Reports. 7, 4421. DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-04615-7.
20. Zhang Y., Guan X.*, H. Yu, Y. Xie, and H. Jin. 2017: Contributions of radiative factors to enhanced dryland warming over East Asia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
122(15), 7723-7736. DOI:10.1002/2017JD026506.
19. Guo R., Guan X.*, Y. He, Z. Gan, and H. Jin. 2017: Different roles of dynamic and thermodynamic effects in enhanced semi-arid warming. International Journal of Climatology.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5155.
18. Chen S., J. Huang*, N. Jiang, Z. Zang, Guan X., et al. 2017: Estimations of anthropogenic dust emissions at global scale from 2007 to 2010. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.
DOI: 10.5194/acp-2017-890.
17. Huang J., Y. Li, C. Fu*, F. Chen, Q. Fu, A. Dai, Masato Shinoda, Z. Ma, W. Guo, Z. Li, L. Zhang, Y. Liu, H. Yu, Y. He, Y. Xie, Guan X., et al. 2017: Dryland climate change: recent
16. Guan X., J. Huang*, and R. Guo. 2017: Changes in Aridity in Response to the Global Warming Hiatus. Journal of Meteorological Research. 31(1), 117-125. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-
017-6038-1.
15. He Y., J. Huang*, Herman Henry Shugart, Guan X., et al. 2017: Unexpected Evergreen Expansion in the Siberian Forest under Warming Hiatus. Journal of Climate. 30, 5021-5038.
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0196.1.
14. Huang J.*, Y. Xie, Guan X., D. Li, and F. Ji. 2017: The dynamics of the warming hiatus over the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics. 48(1-2), 429-446. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-
016-3085-8.
13. Guan X., J. Huang*, Y. Zhang, Y. Xie, and J. Liu. 2016: The relationship between anthropogenic dust and population over global semi-arid regions. Atmospheric Chemistry
Physics.16(8), 5159-5169. DOI:10.5194/acp-2015-952.
12. Guan X., J. Huang*, R.Guo, H. Yu, P. Lin, and Y. Zhang. 2015: Role of radiatively forced temperature changes in enhanced semi-arid warming in the cold season over east Asia.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 15(23), 13777-13786. DOI:10.5194/acp-15-13777-2015.
11. Guan X., J. Huang*, R. Guo, and P. Lin. 2015: The role of dynamically induced variability in the recent warming trend slowdown over the Northern Hemisphere. Scientific Reports.
5, 12669. DOI:10.1038/srep12669.
10. Cheng S., Guan X., J. Huang*, F. Ji, and R. Guo. 2015: Long-term trend and variability of soil moisture over East Asia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 120(17),
8658-8670. DOI: 10.1002/2015JD023206.
9. Huang J.*, H. Yu, Guan X., G. Wang, and R. Guo. 2016: Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change. Nature Climate Change. 6(2), 66-171. DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE2837.
8. Bradley O. Christoffersen*, NataliaRestrepo-Coupe, M Altaf Arain, Ian T. Baker, Bruno P. Cestaro, Phillippe Ciais, Joshua B. Fisher, David Galbraith, Guan X., et al. 2014:
Mechanisms of water supply and vegetation demand govern the seasonality and magnitude of evapotranspiration in Amazonia and Cerrado. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 191,
33-50. DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.02.008.
7. Zhang D., J. Huang*, Guan X., B. Chen, and L. Zhang. 2013: Long-term trends of precipitable water and precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau derived from satellite and surface
measurements. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer. 122, 64-71. DOI:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2012.11.028.
6. L. G. G. de Gonçalves*, J. S. Borak, M. H. Costa, S. R. Saleska, I. Baker, N. Restrepo-Coupe, M. N. Muza, B. Poulter, H. Verbeeck, J. B. Fisher, M. A. Arain, P. Arkin, B. P. Cestaro,
B. Christoffersen, D. Galbraith, Guan X., et al. 2013: Overview of the Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia Data Model Intercomparison Project (LBA-
5. C. von Randow*, M. Zeri, N. Restrepo-Coupe, M. N. Muza, L. G. G. de Gonçalves, M. H. Costa, A. C. Araujo, A. O. Manzi, H. R. da Rocha, S. R. Saleska, M. A. Arain, I. T. Baker,
B. P. Cestaro, B. Christoffersen, P. Ciaisl, J. B. Fisher, D. Galbraith, Guan, X., et al. 2013: Inter-annual variability of carbon and water fluxes in Amazonian forest, Cerrado and
pasture sites, as simulated by terrestrial biosphere models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 182-183, 145-155. DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.05.015.
4. Huang J.*, Guan X., and F. Ji. 2012: Enhanced cold-season warming in semi-arid regions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 12(12), 5391-5398. DOI:10.5194/acp-12-5391-2012.
3. Yang Z., X. Cai, G. Zhang, Ahmad A. Tavakoly, Q. Jin, Lisa H. Meyer, and Guan X., 2011: The Community Noah Land Surface Model with Multi-Parameterization Options (Noah-
MP): Technical Description. Center for Integrated Earth System Science, The University of Texas at Austin. DOI:10.13140/RG.2.1.4925.5921.
2. Guan X., J. Huang*, N. Guo, J. Bi, and G. Wang. 2009: Variability of soil moisture and its relationship with surface albedo and soil thermal parameters over the Loess Plateau.
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 26(4), 692-700. DOI:10.1007/s00376-009-8198-0.
1. Chen Y.*, H. Bai, J. Huang, H. Zhang, J. Ge, Guan X., et al. 2008: Seasonal variability of cloud optical depth over northwestern China derived from CERES/MODIS satellite
measurements. Chinese Optics Letters. 6(6), 454-457. DOI:10.3788/COL20080606.0454.
—— 中 文 文 章
20. 李梦迪, 戚友存, 张哲, 管晓丹. 2022. 基于雷达-雨量计降水融合方法提高极端降水监测能力[J]. 大气科学. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2201.21201.
19. 谷同辉, 管晓丹*, 高照逵, 黄小倩, 郭书扬. 黄河流域蒸散发与气温和降水以及风速的相关性分析[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2022, 38(1): 48-56. DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2022.01.007.
18. 刘婧晨, 管晓丹*, 曹陈宇, 甘泽文, 孔祥宁, 石瑞, 黄建平, 黄小倩. 青藏高原冬季热源多尺度变化及影响因素分析[J]. 兰州大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 57(02): 207-214. DOI:
10.13885/j.issn.0455-2059.2021.02.009.
17. 张镭, 黄建平, 梁捷宁, 于海鹏, 管晓丹, 马金珠, 沈禹颖, 邓建明, 黄宁, 孟兴民, 王澄海, 李常斌, 牟翠翠, 巩杰, 张帆宇. 气候变化对黄河流域的影响及应对措施[J]. 科技导报,
2020, 38(17): 42-51.
16. 黄建平, 张国龙, 于海鹏, 王闪闪, 管晓丹, 任钰. 黄河流域近40年气候变化的时空特征[J]. 水利学报, 2020, 51(09): 1048-1058. DOI:10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20200603.
15. 罗雯, 管晓丹*, 何永利, 郭瑞霞, 李兆麟, 曹陈宇. 全球增温减缓期间北半球暖季气温的变化特征[J]. 高原气象, 2020, 39(04): 673-682.
14. 管晓丹*, 石瑞, 孔祥宁, 刘婧晨, 甘泽文, 马洁茹, 罗雯, 曹陈宇. 全球变化背景下半干旱区陆气机制研究综述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2018, 33(10): 995-1004.
13. 张国龙, 张廷瀚, 陈斌, 张芝娟, 张艳婷, 管晓丹, 康丽泰. APEC期间京津冀地区污染物变化特征分析[J]. 大气与环境光学学报, 2017, 12(03): 184-194.
12. 张艳婷, 黄建平, 管晓丹, 郭瑞霞. 全球人类活动对气候影响强度的定量评估[J]. 干旱气象, 2017, 35(02): 182-189.
11. 张艳婷, 陈斌, 张廷瀚, 张芝娟, 张国龙, 管晓丹, 张北斗. 利用MODIS和MISR资料对APEC会议期间气溶胶时空分布特征的分析[J]. 大气与环境光学学报, 2017, 12(02):136-
147.
10. 程善俊, 黄建平, 季明霞, 管晓丹, 郭瑞霞. 中国华北暖季土壤湿度的变化特征[J]. 干旱气象, 2015, 33(05): 723-731.
9. 郭瑞霞, 管晓丹*, 张艳婷. 我国荒漠化主要研究进展[J]. 干旱气象, 2015, 33(03): 505-513.
8. 冉津江, 季明霞, 黄建平, 管晓丹, 齐玉磊, 何永利. 中国干旱半干旱地区的冷季快速增温[J]. 高原气象, 2014, 33(04): 947-956.
7. 管晓丹*, 程善俊, 郭瑞霞, 季明霞. 干旱半干旱区土壤湿度数值模拟研究进展[J]. 干旱气象, 2014, 32(01): 135-141.
6. 程善俊, 管晓丹*, 黄建平, 季明霞. 利用GLDAS资料分析黄土高原半干旱区土壤湿度对气候变化的响应[J]. 干旱气象, 2013, 31(04): 641-649.
5. 康林, 季明霞, 黄建平, 管晓丹. 欧亚大气环流对中国北方春季沙尘天气的影响[J]. 中国沙漠, 2013, 33(05): 1453-1460.
4. 季飞, 黄建平, 管晓丹, 冉津江. 北美和欧亚大陆冬季快速增温与地表干湿变化[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2012, 8(06): 440-447.
3. 管晓丹*, 郭铌, 黄建平, 葛觐铭, 郑志海. 植被状态指数监测西北干旱的适用性分析[J]. 高原气象, 2008(05): 1046-1053.
2. 陈勇航, 白鸿涛, 黄建平, 邱学兴, 亢燕铭, 管晓丹, 毛晓琴. 西北典型地域云对地气系统的辐射强迫研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2008(02): 97-101.
1. 郭铌, 管晓丹. 植被状况指数的改进及在西北干旱监测中的应用[J]. 地球科学进展, 2007(11): 1160-1168.
PROJECTS
科研项目
——
9. 国家自然科学基金专项项目——黄河流域水循环规律与水土过程耦合效应（项目骨干）
8. 国家自然科学基金优秀青年科学基金项目——全球变化背景下半干旱陆气机制研究（项目负责人）
7. 国家自然科学基金集成项目——青藏高原地-气耦合过程和海洋对区域能量和水分循环及全球气候的协同影响（项目骨干）
6. 国家自然科学基金面上项目——增温停滞对我国干湿变化的影响（项目负责人）
5. 国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目——利用观测资料改进半干旱区土壤湿度参数化方案的研究（项目负责人）
4. 中央高校面上项目——半干旱区植被对气候变化响应的数值模拟（项目骨干）
3. 教育部创新引智项目——半干旱气候变化创新引智基地（项目骨干）
2. 国家重大科学研究计划——全球典型干旱半干旱地区气候变化及其影响（项目骨干）
1. 中央高校优秀研究生创新项目——利用Noah-MP模拟西北半干旱地区的陆面过程（项目负责人）