指出在过去百年尺度上,全球陆地不同气候区的增温趋势存在显著差异,干旱半干旱区的增温幅度远高于湿润区,这种半干旱区的强化增温现象是辐射温度(与人类活动有关)和动力温度(与气候系统的内部振荡有关)共同作用的结果。动力温度扮演着温度变化背景场的作用,而辐射温度与原始温度变化一致,说明辐射温度主导了干旱半干旱区的强化增温现象。相关成果的首篇论文单篇引用率达200次左右。部分成果被联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会第五次评估报告(IPCC AR5)大篇幅引用。研究成果作为封面论文发表在Advances in Atmospheric Sciences上,并获评该期刊年度最优论文。
研究表明四季长度和起止时间的变化在未来将会进一步扩大;在最高排放情景下,到2100年,夏季将持续近半年,而冬季不到2个月。研究成果发表在Geophysical Research Letters和Journal of Climate上,相关成果受到包括世界经济论坛、美国华盛顿邮报、英国卫报等121家国际媒体的146条报道,被维基百科收入2021年气候变化纪事,被联合国减灾署列入降低灾害风险知识库。研究成果获甘肃省优秀硕士学位论文1篇。
PAPERS
论文成果
—— 英 文 文 章
69. He Y.*, Peng Y., Wang Z., Wang S., Guan X.2024:The transition to humid extreme cold events in winter during the past six decades over China.Environmental
67. Su Z., Xie Y.*, Huang J., Wu G., Liu Y., Guan X.2024:Impact of the Tibetan Plateau on Global High-Frequency Temperature Variability.Journal of Climate.
37: 4347-4365. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0271.1.
66. Zeng X., Guan X. *,Chen H.,Wei Z.,Wang G. 2024:Changes of Terrestrial Water Storage in the Yellow River Basin Under Global Warming. Journal of Tropical
CMIP6–DAMIP models. International Journal of Climatology. 43(8): 3892-3906. DOI: 10.1002/joc.8064.
60. Chen B*, Li D, Huang J., Wang Y., Jing Z., Yan W, Wang X, Song Z., Huang Z., Guan X., Dong X., Huang Y. 2023:Analysis of long-term trends in the vertical
56. Zhang G., Huang J.*, Liu X., Guan X., Wei Y, Ding L, Han D. 2023:The evolution of ecological security and its drivers in the Yellow River Basin. Environmental
Science and Pollution Research. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-25667-5.
55. Zhang B., He Y.*, Ren Y, Huang B, Peng Y., Wang S., Guan X. 2023:The influence of the precipitation recycling process on the shift to heavy precipitationover
the Tibetan Plateau in the summer. Frontiersin Earth Science. DOI: 10.3389/feart.2023.1078501.
54. He Y.*, Zhang B., Xia Z., Wang S., Guan X. 2023:Global Warming has Increased the Distance Traveled by Marine Heatwaves. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI:
17. Huang J., Y. Li, C. Fu*, F. Chen, Q. Fu, A. Dai, Masato Shinoda, Z. Ma, W. Guo, Z. Li, L. Zhang, Y. Liu, H. Yu, Y. He, Y. Xie, Guan X., et al. 2017: Dryland
8. Bradley O. Christoffersen*, NataliaRestrepo-Coupe, M Altaf Arain, Ian T. Baker, Bruno P. Cestaro, Phillippe Ciais, Joshua B. Fisher, David Galbraith, Guan
satellite and surface measurements. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer. 122, 64-71. DOI:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2012.11.028.
6. L. G. G. de Gonçalves*, J. S. Borak, M. H. Costa, S. R. Saleska, I. Baker, N. Restrepo-Coupe, M. N. Muza, B. Poulter, H. Verbeeck, J. B. Fisher, M. A.
5. C. von Randow*, M. Zeri, N. Restrepo-Coupe, M. N. Muza, L. G. G. de Gonçalves, M. H. Costa, A. C. Araujo, A. O. Manzi, H. R. da Rocha, S. R. Saleska,
M. A. Arain, I. T. Baker, B. P. Cestaro, B. Christoffersen, P. Ciaisl, J. B. Fisher, D. Galbraith, Guan, X., et al. 2013: Inter-annual variability of carbon and